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الموضوع: Interview with Trader Bill Kraft

  1. #1

    Exclamation Interview with Trader Bill Kraft

    Interview with Trader Bill Kraft

    Bill Kraft practiced trial law for more than 25 years before starting his own photography business. After realizing it wasn't quite what he wanted, he started reading everything he could about online trading. His net worth went from about $300,000 to multi-millionaire status eight years later. Here we talk about how he came through the tech crash by learning how to play the downside of the market effectively, how he trades using options and an "Iron Condor" strategy, and why he decided to write a book about his trading strategies
    ..


    Listen in Windows Media Player by clicking here.

    Listen in Real Player by clicking here.

    Play an MP3 stream by clicking here.

    Download the MP3 file by clicking here


    Published 10/13/2007

  2. #2

    افتراضي رد: Interview with Trader Bill Kraft

    Traders Run the Gamut -- By: Bill Kraft

    Copyright 2007, Makin' Hay, Inc., All Rights Reserved

    Interview with Trader Bill Kraft نادي خبراء المال

    Bill Kraft

    Editor


    One fact has been brought home time and again from the readers' responses to Newsletter articles. There are lots of ways to achieve positive results in trading. If I mention 'buy and hold' I'm certain to get emails saying: "'Attaboy,' way to go. Buy and hold is the only way to make money investing in stocks." Someone else is sure to say something like:
    "Sure, pal, how long did you hold Enron?"

    Mention trading options and I get the same sort of responses. One reader will write about the killings he has made in trading options and another will tell me flat out that you can't make money trading options over time.


    Write about brokerages or commissions and I'll get email that says only a fool would pay more than a $1 commission to trade a block of stock while another will write that they rely heavily on their financial advisor who has made them a pile of money and it is worth the extra commissions to get that help.


    I have often written that I don't believe there is any mathematical formula that will work every time. Boy, do those articles bring the engineers and math folks out of the woodwork. I guess I haven't made it clear that I don't dismiss mathematical formulae completely and out of hand; I'm only saying there is no holy grail. I just don't see how math, alone, can account for some of the emotional aberrations that sometimes do move the markets. Fact is, I do use math related indicators myself all the time. I just don't expect them to be infallible.


    Once again, the point is that there are many strategies by which the
    trader and investor can make money. If what an individual is doing is working well, keep doing it until it stops working and if it never stops working, great! If it stops working, remember that each plan is always a work in progress and can be amended, enhanced, or abandoned, if the practicalities dictate. Each trader can increase the likelihood of success by understanding his trading personality, his risk tolerance, his bias for bullish or bearish trades, and by learning various strategies inside out and then using those that appeal to him. Discipline may well be more important than the specific strategy chosen. The wise money manager is likely to outpace the trader who fails to manage his money.


    Which is better in a bullish market - writing covered calls or selling naked puts? Before answering that question, would it be good to know the risk you are undertaking by entering either position? What are you risking when you sell a naked put? What is the potential reward? When you sell a covered call, what is the total risk? Where is the potential gain capped?


    I say that either the naked put or the covered call can make or lose money and that the choice between the two strategies may simply come down to the trading personality of the trader. What do you think?
    Good Trading!

    Bill Kraft

  3. #3

    افتراضي رد: Interview with Trader Bill Kraft

    Thoughts on Technical Trading -
    - By: Bill Kraft
    Copyright 2007, Makin' Hay, Inc., All Rights Reserved
    Bill Kraft
    Editor


    I consider myself to be primarily a technical trader. By that I mean

    I make my trading entry and exit decisions based on what I see on price and volume charts and with the use of some favorite indicators.



    I do not mean to suggest that I completely ignore fundamentals because I don't.
    However, fundamentals give me little information about when to enter and, even more importantly in my view, when to exit a position.


    As has often been said, fundamentals can tell us what to buy, but give us little information on when to buy it.


    Technicals, on the other hand can provide the "when" of a trade.



    I have heard the argument that technical traders just expect history to repeat itself and while history may, indeed, repeat itself at times, that is not the primary reason for my use of technicals in the decision making process.
    The old cliche that traders need to cut losses and let profits run in order to succeed is axiomatic. Unfortunately, most unsuccessful traders do just the opposite; they cut their profits and let their losses run.


    My best guess is that they do things "bass akwards" because they simply don't know how and when to either cut losses or let profits run. I have reached the conclusion for myself that technical analysis is a very effective way to achieve the goal of cutting losses before they get out of hand and of staying in a play without prematurely cutting profits. Appropriate use of lines on a chart will at least remove the danger of making entries and exits on the basis of emotion and achieving that goal can vastly improve the average retail trader's chances of attaining profitability.

    In my view, while the line on a chart may be an artificial device it can
    create the discipline necessary to successful trading.


    I recently received an email from a subscriber to one of my paid services who said that I had not set an exit or a target in the alert I sent about one of my trades. What I had written in the alert was that I was using the uptrend line as my exit . I had purchased the stock as it bounced up off an uptrend line so I had set an exit -- a violation of the uptrend line -- whenever that might occur. As long as the stock kept going up, the trend line would go up and as long as the stock remained above the trend line, I would continue to make money .
    If the stock suddenly turned down and broke through the trend line, I would exit, thereby cutting my loss.
    I wrote the subscriber and told him that I did not set targets because a target can result in getting out too early. If we set a target and get out when it is hit, what is to say that the stock price may just continue going on past the target? If we exit when the target is hit, we may have just cut our profits. If, on the other hand, we continue the use of the trend line, we would not exit until the trend line is violated and,
    in that case, the stock is no longer in the same trend so we have let our profits run until the trend we are using has ended.


    When I write that I do not use a target as explained above, I do not mean to indicate that I am unaware of support and resistance levels. If I am in a bullish play and the stock price is approaching a resistance, that may well be a good reason to tighten a stop on the theory that the stock may turn back down at the previous resistance, but

    if it goes on through and continues up, that is fine with me and I have not taken myself out prematurely.


    I have just used the trend line as an example of a way to use technical analysis.>>>> There are many methods used by technicians to determine entries and exits.

    Years ago, I gave a talk where I demonstrated the use of moving averages as a way to enter and exit positions.

    Much like a trend line, one could enter a bullish position on a bounce up off a moving average and exit on a break below that same moving average.



    One could use a MACD reversal, for example, from negative to positive as an entry and the opposite as the exit.

    The methods are legion. Before using any, however,

    the trader should study and practice the device he is considering and only when he determines that it fits his personal requirements should he incorporate it into his personal business trading plan
    .
    Good Trading!


    Bill Kraft



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