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الموضوع: IntegrityFX Daily Forex Market Outlook

  1. #1

    افتراضي IntegrityFX Daily Forex Market Outlook

    [IntegrityFX Daily Forex Market Outlook
    By Joshua Habben, Executive Director of Research & Risk Management

    Risk aversion came back today as US equities plunged and US dollar strengthened. As predicted by our Market Analyst David Leal, S&P resistance at 880 held. The S&P dropped 37.21 points today, down -4.28%, to close at 832.39. We are now looking for the S&P to target 800, so we are expecting further risk aversion, US dollar strength, and Japanese Yen strength. A break of 800 would be very bearish and should lead to those currencies greatly strengthening.
    Contributing to the risk aversion was the news that despite the profits recently posted by the banks, Bank of America is concerned by their ability to sustain this growth due to a large increase in troubled loans on their books. Also of significance was the Obama administration saying they could avoid having to go through Congress if more funds were needed for the banks. They stated they could convert their holdings into common stock and use the remaining portion of the financial bailout funds to buy stock. This would obviously increase the ownership of the government in the banks. The market has never liked the idea of steps toward bank nationalization and today was no different. Treasury Secretary Geithner is due to speak tomorrow morning and the markets will likely respond negatively.
    Oil set a new month-to-date low, currently trading at 45. It broke its recent lows from April 1 and April 8 near 47. Despite the US Dollar strength, gold made significant gains after bouncing off support near 865. Look for gold to range between 865 and 900 in the near term.

    Daily Currency Pair Analysis
    EURJPY: The internal debate of the ECB is providing uncertainty about the Euro. Gloomy outlooks on the financial sector are likely to lead to risk aversion and strengthen the Yen.
    Potential Setup: EURJPY sell – We are looking for a sustained break of support near 126.00. We may wait for a bounce after the break in an effort to get a better price.
    Optimal Entry Price: 125.70
    Stop: Above 127.00
    Target: Potential targets of 122.50, 120.00

    GBPCHF: Look for a break of the ascending channel on the four hour chart. See the IntegrityFX.com Technical Outlook for more information.
    Potential Setup: GBPCHF Sell
    Optimal Entry Price: Either break of channel (possibly 1.6980). Possible stacking point on bounce off of 1.6760.
    Stop: Based upon break. If break is at 1.6980, place stop around resistance zone at 1.7199.
    Profit Target: First support line is at 1.6760 and is a possible stack point. 1.6520 and then 1.6224 are either good stop moving points or T1 T2 points. Final take profit point shouldn’t be below 1.6224. Look to take profit before this level.

    AUDNZD: The AUD is fundamentally stronger than the NZD and there is some short term support above 1.2300.
    Potential Setup: AUDNZD buy – buy a bounce off of the support.
    Optimal Entry Price: 1.2305
    Stop: Below 1.2175
    Profit Target: 1.2600


    _________________________
    Joshua Habben
    Integrity FX, LLC
    JHabbenIntegrityFX.com
    www.IntegrityFX.com

  2. #2

    افتراضي رد: IntegrityFX Daily Forex Market Outlook

    thanks for such a great report and recommendations

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  1. IntegrityFX Daily Forex Market Outlook
    بواسطة IntegrityFX في المنتدى نادي خـبـراء الـبـورصه العالمية
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    آخر مشاركة: 28-03-2009, 04:51 PM
  2. IntegrityFX Daily Forex Market Outlook
    بواسطة IntegrityFX في المنتدى نادي خـبـراء الـبـورصه العالمية
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    آخر مشاركة: 27-03-2009, 05:57 PM
  3. IntegrityFX.com Daily Forex Market Outlook
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    آخر مشاركة: 26-03-2009, 03:59 PM
  4. IntegrityFX Daily Forex Market Outlook
    بواسطة IntegrityFX في المنتدى نادي خـبـراء الـبـورصه العالمية
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    آخر مشاركة: 25-03-2009, 05:14 PM
  5. IntegrityFX Daily Forex Market Outlook
    بواسطة IntegrityFX في المنتدى نادي خـبـراء الـبـورصه العالمية
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    آخر مشاركة: 24-03-2009, 05:51 PM

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